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後疫情時代最石破天驚的新觀念！事實上所有的成功心法，從心流、恆毅力、原子習慣、快思慢想到顛峰心態，全都是為了驗證經驗而存在！專文推薦導讀李偉俠｜Termsoup共同創辦人、《創新產品鍊金術》作者各界專業推薦（按照姓氏筆劃排列）Zen大｜《超快速讀書法》作者、知識變現力講師王永福｜教學的技術作者徐慧玲｜聆韵企業管理顧問創辦人劉奕酉｜《高產出的本事》作者、商務顧問鄭緯筌｜「Vista寫作陪伴計畫」主理人►► 本書適合這樣的你☆在職場上打滾了數年，想改變自己工作流與邏輯思考的人。☆位處管理階層，必須帶領團隊做出無數決策的人。☆在創業與風險管理上，需要更嚴謹省視前因後果的人。☆需要解構、分析、組織、說故事的職場人，以制高點掌握全盤局勢。 面對選擇，為什麼我們總是舉棋不定？面對投資，為什麼我們總是預測失準？面對決策，為什麼我們總是苦苦追趕潮流？我們到底遺漏了多少「冰山」下的重點？► 「經驗」真的不是成功之母我們的經驗，是根據自己所處的時空與脈絡所累積而來，因此決策時會產生利基失準的問題，往往讓結果產生偏差，甚至引發災難。想想看歷來的天災、戰爭、金融風暴、乃至橫掃全球多年的疫情。為什麼過度仰賴經驗，會導引我們走向失敗？► 導致我們失敗的七大陷阱☆自以為是的歸納☆過度簡化流程☆跟著感覺走☆忽視警告☆缺乏主動權☆套用別人的成功或失敗☆不去驗證故事的細節► 屏除雜訊、避開陷阱，你應該這麼做！☆避免正面經驗的美好記憶☆關注並討論細節☆將選擇權找回來☆直搗問題核心、鎖定目標前進☆做足功課與蒐集資料☆檢視外部成本、建立完整制度☆持續互動交流► 經驗，還是有好處，只是你需要不斷驗證它！即便是自己的經驗，也有太多要點需要我們拆解。人們傾向將經驗分成開頭、高潮、結尾，並留住最令人感同身受的敘述。細節其實常常都遺失了，導致自己根據經驗所做的判斷可能失誤，在傳達給別人時，更有可能被錯用或忽略。經驗需要被驗證，錨點需要被討論；我們應該讓經驗成為防呆機制，不只是墨守成規。當學習環境越複雜、充滿越多未知因素，觀察到的因果關係就越不可信。我們必須抱持客觀懷疑的精神，便能真正透過經驗，更快、更好適應環境，做出出奇制勝的決策。►►國外知名作家學者推薦「本書從娛樂性十足與發人深省的角度探討經驗造成的限制，引領我們認識一個信念不可動搖的世界，並提醒我們避免輕易落入事後諸葛的境地。」――捷爾德．蓋格瑞澤（G

Do frequent mistakes in English usage cause you embarrassment, impede communication, and slow down your flow of thought? With the help of this book you can use these mistakes to solve most, or all, o

In The Myth of Experience, Hogarth and Soyer explore why a reliance on experience can ultimately hinder individual and societal decision-making. Drawing on concepts of behavioural science and economic

The papers collected in these volumes revolve around the political, constitutional and personal problems of the English government between the end of the fifteenth-century civil wars and the beginning of those of the seventeenth century. Previously published in a great variety of places, none of them appeared in book form before. They are arranged in four groups (Tudor Politics and Tudor Government in Volume I, Parliament and Political Thought in Volume II) but these groups interlock. Though written in the course of some two decades, all the pieces bear variously on the same body of major issues and often illuminate details only touched upon in Professor Elton's books. Several investigate the received preconceptions of historians and suggest new ways of approaching familiar subjects. They are reprinted unaltered, but some new footnotes have been added to correct errors and draw attention to later developments.

The papers collected in these volumes revolve around the political, constitutional and personal problems of the English government between the end of the fifteenth-century civil wars and the beginning of those of the seventeenth century. Previously published in a great variety of places, none of them appeared in book form before. They are arranged in four groups (Tudor Politics and Tudor Government in Volume I, Parliament and Political Thought in Volume II) but these groups interlock. Though written in the course of some two decades, all the pieces bear variously on the same body of major issues and often illuminate details only touched upon in Professor Elton's books. Several investigate the received preconceptions of historians and suggest new ways of approaching familiar subjects. They are reprinted unaltered, but some new footnotes have been added to correct errors and draw attention to later developments.